fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. A message from Martine. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. The data behind that evolution is striking. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. Thats Changing. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. david senak now. June 2, 2016. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. This is the second episode. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. So, the usual. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. The State Of The Polls, 2016. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . Dive in and Share your insights! We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. The Supreme Court Not So Much. This is the final episode. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . Thanks! Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? Galen speaks with him. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. 3 min read. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . ( Businessweek) President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of the 2020 election depending on the situation. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. Happy holidays! Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Accuracy is not guaranteed. Today those numbers have flipped. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. NEW TOWN . Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." Instagram did not return a 200. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. Edit your transcribed text. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization.

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